POE TO WIN 9 OF 16 REGIONS - IBON SURVEY

MANILA,  April 30, 2004
 
(STAR)
Koalisyon ng Nagkakaisang Pilipino (KNP) standard-bearer Fernando Poe Jr. would win in 9 out of the country’s 16 regions if elections were held today, according to the Ibon Foundation survey.

The remaining seven regions favor his rival, President Arroyo.

The survey showed that Poe would win in the National Capital Region and central Luzon, with a voting population of more than 13 million voters, around 25 percent of the estimated 42 million registered voters.

Nationwide, Ibon said Poe got 26.3 percent of total registered voters, compared to 18.6 percent for Mrs. Arroyo. Alyansa ng Pag-asa candidate Raul Roco was in third place with 11.7 percent, followed by independent candidate Sen. Panfilo Lacson in fourth with 11.2 percent. Evangelist Eduardo Villanueva is in fifth place with 5.2 percent. The undecided voters were placed at 27 percent.

The Ibon survey, conducted from March 28 to April 4, gave Poe 21.35 percent of the total votes in Central Luzon, compared to only 7.85 percent for Mrs. Arroyo.

The survey indicated that Poe led all his rivals in Southern Luzon; Bicol; Western, Northern, Southern and Central Mindanao; and the CARAGA region.

Mrs. Arroyo, on the other hand, is expected to win in the Ilocos region; Cagayan Valley; Western, Central and Eastern Visayas; the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) and the Cordillera Administration Region (CAR). It is in the central Visayas — composed of Bohol, Cebu, Negros Oriental and Siquijor — with an estimated three million registered voters that Mrs. Arroyo garnered 19.8 percent of votes over Poe’s 3.22 percent.

However, the survey indicated that Central Visayas is just about one-fourth of the voting strength of Poe’s bailiwicks — Metro Manila and Central Luzon — that have a total of more than 12 million registered voters.

The Ibon survey said that overall, Poe would garner 25.3 percent of the estimated 42 million registered voters, while Mrs. Arroyo would receive 18.6 percent. The difference of eight percentage points translates into more than three million votes, analysts said.

In the 1992 presidential elections, Fidel Ramos won by less than one million votes over the closest rival, then senator Miriam Defensor Santiago.


Reported by: Sol Jose Vanzi

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