BY BOBIT AVILA: THE LATEST SURVEY DONE BY NON-POLITICIANS
MANILA, MARCH 5, 2010 (STAR) SHOOTING STRAIGHT By Bobit S. Avila - Last Feb. 20 we came up with the first survey done by the Campaigns & Images Group (Philippines) that was commissioned by United Kingdom and US-based companies doing business in the Philippines, because they want to know the real score as to who is really leading in this political race. Indeed, there are just too many self-serving surveys around, even Reader’s Digest came up with their own on who can be most trusted, a survey that seems to surface just in time for election season.The Campaigns and Images Group tasked a non-government organization that received financial grant from donor countries in the US and the European Economic Community to administer the questionnaire on individuals identified by sector, from services, industrial and agricultural, including occupations and age brackets. The first survey done by this group at the end of January 31, 2010 showed that former Defense Sec. Gibo Teodoro has overtaken Erap and was now 3rd behind the statistically tied Sen. Noynoy Aquino and Sen. Manny Villar.
Campaigns and Images has released its latest survey, which was conducted by volunteers from the Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting (PPCRV) between Feb.10 and 20. This new survey asked the question as to who has the better platform of government among the Presidentiables. Here are the latest results.
Sample Depth 5,100 individuals Respondents 4,947 individuals Methodology Random pick, Sector-representative Target Sections Luzon (2,958); Visayas (5,621), Mindanao (1,581)
Candidate
SizeResponse (A) Luzon (B) Mindanao (C)
Visayas (A-C)% Pts. AQUINO 1,162 14% 6% 3% 23.00% VILLAR 1,610 18% 10% 4% 32.00% TEODORO 930 10% 5% 3% 18.00% ESTRADA 247 3% 2% 0.75% 5.75% OTHERS 998 11% 7% 0.25% 20.00% Total 4,947 57% 31% 11% 99.00% Confidence Rating and Error Margin Calculation
Description
SizeResponse Luzon (A) Mindanao (B)
Visayas(C) Total Response 4,947 2,819 1,533 544 Sample Depth 5,100 2,958 1,581 561 Confidence % 97.00% 95.30% 96.96% 96.96% Error Margin 3.00% 4.70% 3.04% 3.04% When I first published the first survey from this group, I got calls from many people why that survey wasn’t published or made public? My answer was, “This was the most unbiased of all surveys as it wasn’t collated to help any political candidate as the survey was commissioned to get into the bottom of who were really leading this Presidential race.” But the Campaigns & Images Group allowed me to publish its results.
This latest survey shows that Sen. Manny Villar has now overtaken the survey leader, Noynoy Aquino, III. Sen. Villar bagged a 32% or a 9 percentage points lead against survey leader, Noynoy Aquino who garnered 23%, while Gibo Teodoro, Jr. got 18 percentage points or a mere 6% behind Noynoy. Again let me point out that there are surveys being spread around in order to make their candidates look good. But by far, this survey is the most thorough and the most credible survey that I have ever seen because non-politicians commissioned it.
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There must be something terribly wrong with the data that Health Sec. Esperanza Cabral is using as she apparently wants the population of the Philippines to go down to as low as 1.3 or 1.4 growth rate. Doesn’t she know that our current Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is now hovering in the 2.0 which means our population growth has already plateau and when our growth goes down, there is no stopping it from falling.
Surely Sec. Cabral must have seen the YouTube documentary “Demographic Winter” which details the population growths of Japan and the European Union, including Russia, which are experiencing economic problems due to too many old people (many of whom are no longer productive) and lack of children. The average populations of EU are 1.3, which means that it would take two or three generations to recover. Hence, their populations are now largely immigrants coming mostly from Africa and the Middle East, most of whom are Muslim.
Health Sec. Cabral also spent government funds to give condoms to people. Surely as a Health Secretary, she should know by now or realize that the use of condoms is not a surefire guarantee that it won’t result in pregnancy? It is a false sense of security. Doesn’t she know that 36% of teen pregnancy was due to the use of condom? If you looked into an electron microscope, you can see the millions of sperm from a man’s semen and put a condom under that same microscope and you will see that many of them have holes that a human eye cannot see! Condom is made of rubber and is mass-produced, so one cannot see those micron holes in a brand new condom. Look for Rowland Rubber in your Google and see how rubber is made.
Chief News Editor: Sol Jose Vanzi
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