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PHNO HEADLINE NEWS THIS PAST WEEK
(Mini Reads followed by Full Reports below)

65% WON'T RATE PNoy A SUCCESS, SWS POLL


DECEMBER 8 -PNoy Less than a majority of respondents in a survey were willing to bet that President Aquino’s six-year term was a success even if he is scheduled to step down next year. A Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey revealed that only 35 percent rated Aquino a successful President while those ambivalent and those who rate him a failure dominate at 39 percent and 26 percent respectively in the third quarter or a total of 65 percent who are skeptics. The number of respondents who answered “it is too early to tell” whether Aquino was a successful President, was greater than respondents that said Aquino would be successful at 35 percent and unsuccessful at 26 percent for the third quarter of 2015. An increase of six percentage points was seen on those who believe Aquino’s term would be considered a success from the last quarter’s 29 percent. Those who believe Aquino failed in his presidency were higher at 26 percent in the third quarter from 21 percent in the previous survey last June. Those who are withholding their judgment fell from 50 percent in the June survey. According to the SWS, Aquino’s net expectation of success, or the percentage of those who said he will be successful minus the percentage of those who said he would be unsuccessful, was at net nine points in the third quarter from net eight points.
This, however, is overall termed as “neutral” by the think tank, as the SWS rates a net satisfaction rating of 70 as “excellent”; 50 to 69 as “very good”; 30 to 49 as “good”; 10 to 29, “moderate”; nine to negative nine, “neutral”; negative 10 to negative 29, “poor”; negative 30 to negative 49, “bad”; negative 50 to negative 69, “very bad”; as well as negative 70 and below as “execrable”.SWS said among those who said Aquino would be successful gave a net 75 satisfaction rating in the third quarter or 83 percent expressing satisfaction with his performance and seven percent dissatisfied. Among the ambivalent or those who said it was too early to judge his performance, 62 percent were satisfied and 22 percent were dissatisfied for a net 40 rating compared to June 2014’s “moderate” 18 and June 2013’s “very good” net 57. Among those who already rated him a failure, 40 percent said they were satisfied with Aquino against 43 percent dissatisfied or a net negative three rating that was 23 points better than June 2014’s “poor” -26 though still 23 points worse than June 2013’s “moderate” +20. READ MORE...

ALSO: AMLC fails to get asset protection vs Binay assets


DECEMBER 8 -The Anti-Money Laundering Council (AMLC) has failed to secure an asset protection order for a bank account of Vice President Jejomar Binay, his spokesman yesterday said. “The court did not grant AMLC’s petition and was instead ordered to comment on the motion of the Vice President. This only shows that the case being presented by AMLC has no legal basis to stand on,” lawyer Rico Quicho, in a statement, stressed. He pointed out that after claiming earlier that the Vice President had billions of pesos deposited in 242 accounts, the AMLC had asked the Manila Regional Trial Court (RTC) to freeze only one account with a deposit of P1.7 million, an admission that it had no solid evidence against Binay.
The Vice President’s camp also noted the AMLC’s latest petition was a “blatant violation” of Republic Act (RA) 1379, or the “Act Declaring Forfeiture in Favor of the State Any Property Found To Have Been Unlawfully Acquired By Any Public Officer or Employee and Providing for the Proceedings Therefore.” Section 2 of RA 1379 provides that “that no such petition shall be filed within one year before any general election or within three months before any special election.” Quicho said this prohibition was explicitly provided for by the law to deter political harassment. He lamented that the present AMLC has allowed itself to be part of the demolition team formed to discredit Binay, one of the presidential aspirants in the 2016 elections, and prevent him from continuing his fight for the poor Filipinos ignored by the Aquino administration.
The AMLC filed a petition for civil forfeiture last November 12 against the Vice President, Makati Mayor Jejomar Erwin Binay and 62 other individuals and corporations. AMLC filed the petition after the original six-month freeze order on the Binays’ assets filed last May 11 lapsed. READ MORE...

ALSO: Pro-Duterte SWS survey blasted; Trillanes said Cayetano CAMP rigged results


DECEMBER 8 -CAYETANO, TRILLANES Many questioned the results of the commissioned Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey showing Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte leading with a 38 percent preference as several flaws were noted in it while one senator claimed the results were rigged to favor Duterte. The survey which the SWS said was commissioned by a Davao City-based businessman William Lima, showed Duterte pulling ahead of both United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) standard bearer Vice President Jejomar Binay and independent candidate Sen. Grace Poe who were both tied at 21 percent. The administration and Liberal Party (LP) Standard bearer Manuel Roxas II garnered 15 percent, while Sen.Miriam Defensor-Santiago got 4 percent. One percent of respondents was undecided. Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV, who is seeking the vice presidency and had committed his support to Sen. Grace Poe’s presidential run accused his erstwhile partner in the Senate blue ribbon subcommittee troika in the demolition campaign against Vice President Binay, Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano, of having rigged the SWS survey results. Cayetano and Trillanes are rivals for the vice presidency with Cayetano being the running mate of Duterte. Trillanes pointed a finger at the camp of Cayetano as engaging in a propaganda campaign to boost the candidacy of Duterte. “The survey that was released or published (yesterday) is a propaganda article which was done by the Alan Cayetano and Duterte camp so it will naturally favor their candidates,” Trillanes said.“The SWS should not have allowed such a survey to be conducted. They’re supposed to be the one to filter the possible political implications of other surveys. So, it’s unfortunate that they (SWS) allowed themselves to be used again because historically, SWS has been notoriously allowing itself to be used as a propaganda instrument,” Trillanes said. We have witnessed that during the 2004 presidential elections when they kept on putting (former president and now Pampanga Rep. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo) GMA as the front runner and, ultimately, as the winner of that election despite the fact that she cheated and FPJ (Fernando Poe Jr.) actually won,” he added. READ MORE...

ALSO: Sen. JV Ejercito faces graft over firearms anomaly
[P2.1-M calamity fund spent on sub-machineguns in 2008]


DECEMBER 8 -Ejercito
P2.1-M calamity fund spent on sub-machineguns in 2008 The Office of the Ombudsman has found ground to file graft and technical malversation charges before the Sandiganbayan against Sen. Joseph Victor “JV” Ejercito and several other officials in connection with the allegedly anomalous purchase of high-powered firearms when he was mayor of San Juan City (Metro Manila) in 2008.Before his election to Congress, Ejercito served as the city’s mayor from 2001 to 2010. His mother, Guia Gomez, is the incumbent mayor while his father, former president Joseph Estrada, also led the former Rizal town from 1969 to 1986. Ejercito represented San Juan City in Congress from 2010 to 2013 and was elected senator in 2013. In a 20-page joint resolution, the Ombudsman found that the gun purchase was allegedly done without public bidding and that the supplier was not subjected to post-qualification. There was a “hasty procurement of specific high-powered firearms of a particular brand sans competitive bidding and without any post-qualification, bolstered by bid documents bearing dates earlier than the publication of the invitation to bid, showing that an unwarranted benefit, advantage and preference” was accorded to the supplier, the resolution read. Ombudsman Conchita Carpio-Morales said Ejercito “acted in concert with the members of the city council who authorized him to purchase firearms using the city’s calamity funds paving the way for the application of public funds for a purpose different from the one for which they were originally appropriated by law.” Also facing charges for technical malversation as defined under the Revised Penal Code were: former Vice Mayor Leonardo Celles and then-Councilors Andoni Carballo, Vincent Pacheco, Angelino Mendoza, Dante Santiago, Rolando Bernardo, Grace Pardines, Domingo Sese, Francis Peralta, Edgardo Soriano, Jannah Ejercito-Surla, Franciso Zamora, Ramon Nakpil and Joseph Christopher Torralba. The Ombudsman also found probable cause to file graft charges against the members of the Bids and Awards Committee—city administrator Ranulfo Dacalos, city treasurer Rosalinda Marasigan, city attorney Romualdo delos Santos, city budget officer Lorenza Ching and city engineer Danilo Mercado. “Dacalos, Marasigan, Delos Santos, Mercado and Alicia Barazon [accountant] were also found guilty of misconduct and were ordered suspended without pay for six months,” the Ombudsman’s resolution read. Ejercito sought the City Council’s approval in February 2008 to buy high-powered firearms using the city’s calamity fund. He justified the purchase by saying it was “an investment for disaster preparedness,” according to the Ombudsman. The City Council went on to pass City Ordinance No. 9 (Series of 2008) authorizing the mayor to purchase the firearms for the San Juan Police Department. In 2008, the respondents purchased three units of model K2 cal. 5.56mm sub-machine guns and 17 units of Daewoo model K1 cal. 5.56mm sub-machines guns totaling P2.1 million. The Office of the Ombudsman, however, said the high-powered firearms are not among the items contemplated for disaster relief and mitigation under Department of Budget and Management-Department of the Interior and Local Government (DBM-DILG) Circular No. 2003-1. More important, the Ombudsman said, “There was no declaration placing San Juan under a state of calamity.” READ MORE...

ALSO: GMA home for the holidays; SC GIVES HER 6-day furlough


DECEMBER 8 -Acting on former president and current Pampanga Rep. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo’s urgent motion for house arrest, the Supreme Court gave her six-day holiday furlough. PHILSTAR File photo
Detained former president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo will not just be home for Christmas. She will also get to celebrate the New Year with her kith and kin. The early “gifts” came about after the Supreme Court granted Arroyo a six-day leave from a hospital where she is detained. The furlough was given in connection with the former leader’s urgent motion for house arrest, pending resolution of her bail petition by the Sandiganbayan First Division, which is hearing a plunder case against her over alleged misuse of P365 million in Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office confidential/intelligence funds during her term as president. Arroyo filed the petition after the United Nations Working Group on Human Rights ruled that the detention of Arroyo was arbitrary. READ MORE...

ALSO by R. Tiglao: SWS’ bogus Duterte poll


DECEMBER 8 -
by RIGOBERTO D. TIGLAO The recent Social Weather Stations (SWS) poll claiming that Davao City mayor Rodrigo Duterte garnered a 38 percent rating in the presidential race is so obviously flawed, and therefore, a bogus one.
The questionnaire, which SWS used to project the weird candidate as the front-runner: “Q5: Ibang listahan naman po ang gamitin natin. Kasama dito si RODRIGO DUTERTE bilang isang substitute candidate sa President. Sa mga sumusunod na pangalan sa listahang ito, sino po ang malamang na inyong iboboto bilang PRESIDENTE NG PILIPINAS, kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon? (Let’s use a different list. Included here is RODRIGO DUTERTE as substitute candidate for President. Among the following names in this list, who would you likely vote as President of the Philippines if the elections were to be held now?)”  SWS president Mahar Mangahas knows that’s simply not done in professional polling, that it’s a no-no in a poll asking respondents to pick names in a list to mention a particular name. So, why did he still do that?  The poll was “leaked” to one newspaper, obviously by Duterte supporters ecstatic about the results. Or maybe Mr. Mangahas wasn’t expecting the privately commissioned poll to be publicly released, which would show how flawed its questionnaire was. The questionnaire grossly biases the result, as if the pollster highlighted Duterte’s name with a yellow marker in the list. In the psychological context of opinion polls, that seemingly innocuous mention of Duterte is a huge red neon arrow sign to Duterte telling respondents: “Pick him, pick him!” It’s as if a pollster asked: Coke has reduced its price by 10 centavos. Which soft drink do you prefer in this list: Coke, Pepsi, RC Cola? Note that the questionnaire that produced Duterte’s high ratings, or “Q5,” was preceded by a “Q4,” which seems not to have Duterte’s name. Why didn’t SWS release the results of this questionnaire? (IMAGE BELOW) SWS’ loaded questionnaire to push up Duterte’s ratings, with practically a neon sign asking respondents to choose him.
I am quite sure Grace Poe would also have a similar high rating if Mangahas had her name, instead, in the questionnaire: “Included here is GRACE POE as candidate for President, who the Senate Electoral Tribunal ruled on Nov. 17 is qualified to be senator, and therefore, likely to be qualified to be President…” The basic flaw of such voting-preference polls is the fact that at least 30 percent of respondents haven’t really made up their minds on whom to vote many months before the election day, and merely report unconsidered, shallow choices, or the candidate they last heard of or read about in the news. The mention of Duterte’s name in such a questionnaire practically ordered a lot of uncommitted respondents to pick him. READ MORE...PLUS READERS RESPONSES...


READ FULL MEDIA REPORTS HERE:

65% won’t rate Noynoy a success, shows SWS poll

MANILA, DECEMBER 14, 2015 (TRIBUNE) Written by Tribune Wires Tuesday, 08 December 2015 00:00 - Less than a majority of respondents in a survey were willing to bet that President Aquino’s six-year term was a success even if he is scheduled to step down next year.

A Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey revealed that only 35 percent rated Aquino a successful President while those ambivalent and those who rate him a failure dominate at 39 percent and 26 percent respectively in the third quarter or a total of 65 percent who are skeptics.

The number of respondents who answered “it is too early to tell” whether Aquino was a successful President, was greater than respondents that said Aquino would be successful at 35 percent and unsuccessful at 26 percent for the third quarter of 2015.

An increase of six percentage points was seen on those who believe Aquino’s term would be considered a success from the last quarter’s 29 percent.

Those who believe Aquino failed in his presidency were higher at 26 percent in the third quarter from 21 percent in the previous survey last June.

Those who are withholding their judgment fell from 50 percent in the June survey.

According to the SWS, Aquino’s net expectation of success, or the percentage of those who said he will be successful minus the percentage of those who said he would be unsuccessful, was at net nine points in the third quarter from net eight points.

This, however, is overall termed as “neutral” by the think tank, as the SWS rates a net satisfaction rating of 70 as “excellent”; 50 to 69 as “very good”; 30 to 49 as “good”; 10 to 29, “moderate”; nine to negative nine, “neutral”; negative 10 to negative 29, “poor”; negative 30 to negative 49, “bad”; negative 50 to negative 69, “very bad”; as well as negative 70 and below as “execrable”.

SWS said among those who said Aquino would be successful gave a net 75 satisfaction rating in the third quarter or 83 percent expressing satisfaction with his performance and seven percent dissatisfied.

Among the ambivalent or those who said it was too early to judge his performance, 62 percent were satisfied and 22 percent were dissatisfied for a net 40 rating compared to June 2014’s “moderate” 18 and June 2013’s “very good” net 57.

Among those who already rated him a failure, 40 percent said they were satisfied with Aquino against 43 percent dissatisfied or a net negative three rating that was 23 points better than June 2014’s “poor” -26 though still 23 points worse than June 2013’s “moderate” +20.

READ MORE...

Survey a boon for Noy — Palace

Presidential spokesman Edwin Lacierda said the survey results favored Aquino but did not elaborate on it or its effect on administration candidate former Interior Secretary Manuel Roxas II.

“This is a continuing survey; it is a snapshot of the entire scenario today. It’s a continuing process of presenting to the people what we intend to do,” Lacierda said.

By area, the survey showed net expectation in Balance Luzon dipped to a record low of low of negative one from the second quarter’s net three points but recovered in Metro Manila to negative 3 from the second quarter’s negative seven.

It rose to net 23 from net 12 in the Visayas and to net 26 from net 22 in Mindanao.

By class, the net expectation rating rose to 14 points from eight among class ABC, up to 22 points from 17 among class E, and inched higher to six points from five among class D.

The third quarter poll was taken from September 2 to 5 using face-to-face interviews among 1,200 adults across the country. The poll had sampling error margins of negative and positive three points for national percentages and negative and positive six points for area percentages.

“This latest figure was fueled by increases across most geographical areas and social classes,” Lacierda said in a statement.

He added as the country gears up for the 2016 national and local elections, it is up to the Filipino people to sustain the momentum of “daang matuwid”, the government’s straight path advocacy, “and ensure that the gains of recent years will be felt by generations to come”.


TRIBUNE

AMLC fails to get asset protection vs Binay assets
Written by Tribune Wires Tuesday, 08 December 2015 00:00



The Anti-Money Laundering Council (AMLC) has failed to secure an asset protection order for a bank account of Vice President Jejomar Binay, his spokesman yesterday said.

“The court did not grant AMLC’s petition and was instead ordered to comment on the motion of the Vice President. This only shows that the case being presented by AMLC has no legal basis to stand on,” lawyer Rico Quicho, in a statement, stressed.

He pointed out that after claiming earlier that the Vice President had billions of pesos deposited in 242 accounts, the AMLC had asked the Manila Regional Trial Court (RTC) to freeze only one account with a deposit of P1.7 million, an admission that it had no solid evidence against Binay.

The Vice President’s camp also noted the AMLC’s latest petition was a “blatant violation” of Republic Act (RA) 1379, or the “Act Declaring Forfeiture in Favor of the State Any Property Found To Have Been Unlawfully Acquired By Any Public Officer or Employee and Providing for the Proceedings Therefore.”

Section 2 of RA 1379 provides that “that no such petition shall be filed within one year before any general election or within three months before any special election.”
Quicho said this prohibition was explicitly provided for by the law to deter political harassment.

He lamented that the present AMLC has allowed itself to be part of the demolition team formed to discredit Binay, one of the presidential aspirants in the 2016 elections, and prevent him from continuing his fight for the poor Filipinos ignored by the Aquino administration.

The AMLC filed a petition for civil forfeiture last November 12 against the Vice President, Makati Mayor Jejomar Erwin Binay and 62 other individuals and corporations. AMLC filed the petition after the original six-month freeze order on the Binays’ assets filed last May 11 lapsed.

READ MORE...

Based on the AMLC petition, the Manila RTC issued a 20-day “Provisional Asset Protection Order” last November 13 on several accounts, including only one account in the name of the Vice President.



Quicho also said the Vice President has volunteered to the court that he will not touch the funds in his account until the court has resolved all legal issues.

“Since the 20-day provisional asset protection order was deemed lifted, Vice President Binay volunteered to the court that he will not touch the funds in his account in order for the court to properly resolve the legal issues,” he stressed.

“This is a voluntary act to show that Vice President has nothing to hide and is confident in his position that the AMLC petition is not only illegal, but also a clear act of political harassment,” Quicho added.

Earlier in the day, Binay’s counsel, lawyer Claro Certeza, filed an omnibus motion against the petition for forfeiture of the AMLC.

He, however, refused to elaborate on what happened during the first hearing on the AMLC petition. “This is a confidential proceeding according to the court and if you will give interviews, you will be cited for contempt and we have to respect that,” Certeza told reporters.


TRIBUNE

Pro-Duterte SWS survey blasted Written by Tribune Wires Tuesday, 08 December 2015 00:00

TRILLANES SAYS CAYETANO RIGGED RESULTS


CAYETANO, TRILLANES

Many questioned the results of the commissioned Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey showing Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte leading with a 38 percent preference as several flaws were noted in it while one senator claimed the results were rigged to favor Duterte.

The survey which the SWS said was commissioned by a Davao City-based businessman William Lima, showed Duterte pulling ahead of both United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) standard bearer Vice President Jejomar Binay and independent candidate Sen. Grace Poe who were both tied at 21 percent.

The administration and Liberal Party (LP) Standard bearer Manuel Roxas II garnered 15 percent, while Sen.Miriam Defensor-Santiago got 4 percent. One percent of respondents was undecided.

Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV, who is seeking the vice presidency and had committed his support to Sen. Grace Poe’s presidential run accused his erstwhile partner in the Senate blue ribbon subcommittee troika in the demolition campaign against Vice President Binay, Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano, of having rigged the SWS survey results.

Cayetano and Trillanes are rivals for the vice presidency with Cayetano being the running mate of Duterte.

Trillanes pointed a finger at the camp of Cayetano as engaging in a propaganda campaign to boost the candidacy of Duterte.

“The survey that was released or published (yesterday) is a propaganda article which was done by the Alan Cayetano and Duterte camp so it will naturally favor their candidates,” Trillanes said.

“The SWS should not have allowed such a survey to be conducted. They’re supposed to be the one to filter the possible political implications of other surveys. So, it’s unfortunate that they (SWS) allowed themselves to be used again because historically, SWS has been notoriously allowing itself to be used as a propaganda instrument,” Trillanes said.

We have witnessed that during the 2004 presidential elections when they kept on putting (former president and now Pampanga Rep. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo) GMA as the front runner and, ultimately, as the winner of that election despite the fact that she cheated and FPJ (Fernando Poe Jr.) actually won,” he added.

READ MORE...

SWS said the survey was conducted on November 26-28 using face-to-face interviews of 1,200 registered voters divided into random samples of 300 each in Metro Manila, Balance of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.

Senators expressed their doubts on the survey results, citing numerous factors such as the period when it was conducted, which was prior to the mayor’s profanity-laced proclamation speech last Nov. 30.

Osmeña also skeptical


Osmeña III, INQUIRER FILE

Even Sen. Sergio Osmeña III, a partymate of Duterte in the Partido Demokratiko Pilipino-Laban ng Bayan (PDP-Laban), appeared not inclined to be swayed by the SWS poll.

“Crucial events happened after the survey was taken including the curses made by Duterte on Pope Francis and so that was not captured in that survey. So we will have to see what effect it had. We have to wait for another survey,” he told reporters.

“There might be a flaw there. I have not seen the questionnaire [but] sometimes, there are flaws in the way you ask the question,” Osmeña said.

Given the stir created by Duterte’s speech, in which he unleashed a mouthful, against the administration, some of the presidential contenders, sparing no one, not even Pope Francis for the monstrous traffic jam during his visit to the country last January, Osmeña said the mayor’s standing in the polls could still change.

“Yes definitely the effect is negative. How temporary that negative is, we don’t know,” he said, referring to the oft-repeated irreverence of Duterte publicly.

“I’m sure it will affect him that’s why he apologized (right away). How permanent the damage will be on the image and reputation of Duterte, we will not know until the next survey. There could be a dip or a temporary drop in the rating,” he said.

“A survey taken today may not yield the same results of survey taken after a month. So we have to see. With continuing debates there, especially among the presidentiable, it can be expected that they will throw mud at each other and sometimes the mud tends to stick so we will have to wait,” the senator added.

Contrary to the impression on Duterte being a “reluctant” candidate, Trillanes debunked this claiming that the mayor’s presidential bid had long been planned out, even before the Senate Electoral Tribunal (SET) handed out its final ruling on the disqualification case against Poe.

“This survey is invalid for so many reasons. One, it was conducted before the infamous speech of Duterte and I believe that that will have an impact. Then, next is the question in the survey that was cued to favor Duterte because in the survey question, his name was mentioned as a substitute candidate. So for those who are going to call on quantitative research, that invalidates a question,” Trillanes said in a news forum in Quezon City.

The senator disputed the mayor’s reasoning that he was prompted by the SET’s issuance of a favorable ruling to Poe in reconsidering his earlier decision not to join the presidential race next year.


TRILLANES -INQUIRER FILE

“Didn’t anybody notice? There is a communication plan. They were expecting Poe to be disqualified because the prepared statement then was that I will run because there is nobody to challenge the administration candidate now the statement has shifted to I will run because I can’t allow an American President’,” Trillanes said.

Osmeña agreed with Trillanes as he also noted that the SWS survey was “perhaps commissioned by a follower of Duterte.”

Trillanes chided the Duterte’s drum-beaters in making an excuse out of Poe, her alleged attempt to mislead the public by presenting herself as a qualified candidate when in fact she’s supposedly not, saying that the issue being previously raised by the mayor is no longer being mentioned nowadays “because they realized the absurdity of that spin.”

While the plan for Duterte’s bid had long been laid down, Trillanes said the tandem of the mayor and Cayetano was just waiting for the right time and reason to launch their bid.

“That’s why they had an alibi or reason to enter into the picture, the Nov. 17 decision of the SET. They were prepared for the disqualification decision (on Poe) except that the opposite was the result, They would run just the same. If the survey was done on Nov. 11 and 12, this means there really was a plan,” he said.

Despite claims that Duterte has edged out Poe from the lead, Trillanes admitted that at this point, the mayor is in equal footing with Vice President Jejomar Binay and administration standard bearer Manuel “Mar” Roxas II.

For the meantime, Osmeña said the SWS survey seems to be a realistic survey although “it was not something unexpected.”

“Definitely this is not believable and the public knows that very well,” said Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV, in a separate interview with reporters.

Trillanes, who is a vice presidential aspirant, noted as well the survey period, when the issue on the disqualification cases against another presidential candidate, Sen. Grace Poe has been hogging the headlines.

“We will never know because nobody captures that specific pulse of the people during that time and after.

Trillanes, who is openly endorsing the candidacy of Poe, expressed belief that the issue on Duterte “cursing” Pope Francis will be a critical element as it was not factored in, in the survey.

Trillanes expressed belief that the issues being thrown against Poe, the question on her citizenship and residency status, could have had an impact in the entry of Duterte into the picture.

“He’s not (a mere) novelty. I think Duterte touches a nerve in the psyche of the Filipino voter especially those called by pollsters as among D and E voters. I have seen that. Duterte has a strong pull,” Trillanes admitted.

Trillanes shared Osmeña’s observation on Duterte’s growing popularity among the voters but attributed this to the perception of lawlessness in the country.

“There is a demand (for the likes of Duterte) because of the environment that’s happening right now. The people seem to be tempted nowadays when we should not,” he said.
Poe’s camp remained unperturbed even as the senator herself admitted that the filing of disqualification cases against her may have somehow affected her standing in the pre-election surveys.

“Surveys are snap shots of sentiments of people in a given time frame. People’s sentiments change depending on what message they hear. Our resolve is to intensify and amplify the message of Poe, her message of inclusive growth and good governance. We believe that giving focus to this will convert more people into supporting her,” said Poe’s spokesman, Valenzuela Mayor Rex Gatchalian.

No dice — Lacierda


LACIERDA

Malacañang also dismissed the results of the survey.

Presidential spokesman Edwin Lacierda, in a Palace briefing, downplayed the survey, saying that Duterte’s camp may have only hyped the survey results. He said that it was too early to tell the significance of the survey, as polls will be held on May 2016.

Aquino’s spokesman questioned the effect of the survey’s question that mentioned Duterte first hand before the respondents answer.

Question No. 5 of the survey read: “We will use a different list this time. Rodrigo Duterte is included here as a substitute candidate. Among the listed names, who are you likely to vote FOR PRESIDENT, if elections were held today?”

“The candidates will have six months to present their platform to the people. In the meantime, survey numbers will go up or down but the only survey that matters is the one in May,” Lacierda told reporters in the media briefing.

“Anyone whose name will be on top will take advantage of your number. It’s something that you would hype so I would not be surprised if the Duterte camp would hype the numbers,” the Palace official added.

By geographical location, Duterte won most of his ratings from Mindanao, his homeland, scoring 50 percent of the survey results. Binay and Poe followed with 18 and 13 percent respectively. Roxas and Santiago lagged with 16 and 2 percent apiece.

In the National Capital Region, Duterte got 48 percent. He was followed by Poe, 22 percent; Binay, 18 percent; Roxas, 7 percent; Santiago, 3 percent; while 1 percent were undecided. He likewise dominated in the Visayas with 44 percent. Roxas was next at 20 percent, followed by Poe, 16 percent; Binay, 14 percent; Santiago, 5 percent, with 2 percent undecided.

Only in Luzon did Poe manage to take back the lead with 28 percent, followed shortly by Binay who reaped 27 percent; Duterte followed with 26 percent, Roxas with 14 percent and Santiago with 5 percent. One percent remains undecided.

The commissioned survey has an error margin of -/+3.
By Angie M. Rosales And Joshua L. Labonera


MANILA TIMES

JV faces graft over firearms anomaly December 8, 2015 11:00 pm
by REINA TOLENTINO, REPORTER


Ejercito

P2.1-M calamity fund spent on sub-machineguns in 2008

The Office of the Ombudsman has found ground to file graft and technical malversation charges before the Sandiganbayan against Sen. Joseph Victor “JV” Ejercito and several other officials in connection with the allegedly anomalous purchase of high-powered firearms when he was mayor of San Juan City (Metro Manila) in 2008.

Before his election to Congress, Ejercito served as the city’s mayor from 2001 to 2010. His mother, Guia Gomez, is the incumbent mayor while his father, former president Joseph Estrada, also led the former Rizal town from 1969 to 1986.

Ejercito represented San Juan City in Congress from 2010 to 2013 and was elected senator in 2013.

In a 20-page joint resolution, the Ombudsman found that the gun purchase was allegedly done without public bidding and that the supplier was not subjected to post-qualification.

There was a “hasty procurement of specific high-powered firearms of a particular brand sans competitive bidding and without any post-qualification, bolstered by bid documents bearing dates earlier than the publication of the invitation to bid, showing that an unwarranted benefit, advantage and preference” was accorded to the supplier, the resolution read.

Ombudsman Conchita Carpio-Morales said Ejercito “acted in concert with the members of the city council who authorized him to purchase firearms using the city’s calamity funds paving the way for the application of public funds for a purpose different from the one for which they were originally appropriated by law.”

Also facing charges for technical malversation as defined under the Revised Penal Code were: former Vice Mayor Leonardo Celles and then-Councilors Andoni Carballo, Vincent Pacheco, Angelino Mendoza, Dante Santiago, Rolando Bernardo, Grace Pardines, Domingo Sese, Francis Peralta, Edgardo Soriano, Jannah Ejercito-Surla, Franciso Zamora, Ramon Nakpil and Joseph Christopher Torralba.

The Ombudsman also found probable cause to file graft charges against the members of the Bids and Awards Committee—city administrator Ranulfo Dacalos, city treasurer Rosalinda Marasigan, city attorney Romualdo delos Santos, city budget officer Lorenza Ching and city engineer Danilo Mercado.

“Dacalos, Marasigan, Delos Santos, Mercado and Alicia Barazon [accountant] were also found guilty of misconduct and were ordered suspended without pay for six months,” the Ombudsman’s resolution read.

Ejercito sought the City Council’s approval in February 2008 to buy high-powered firearms using the city’s calamity fund. He justified the purchase by saying it was “an investment for disaster preparedness,” according to the Ombudsman.

The City Council went on to pass City Ordinance No. 9 (Series of 2008) authorizing the mayor to purchase the firearms for the San Juan Police Department.

In 2008, the respondents purchased three units of model K2 cal. 5.56mm sub-machine guns and 17 units of Daewoo model K1 cal. 5.56mm sub-machines guns totaling P2.1 million.

The Office of the Ombudsman, however, said the high-powered firearms are not among the items contemplated for disaster relief and mitigation under Department of Budget and Management-Department of the Interior and Local Government (DBM-DILG) Circular No. 2003-1.

More important, the Ombudsman said, “There was no declaration placing San Juan under a state of calamity.”

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The graft charges pertain to alleged violation of Section 3(e) of the anti-graft law.
Section 3(e) prohibits public officials from causing undue injury to any party including the government, or giving a private party any unwarranted benefits, advantage or preference in the discharge of their official functions through manifest partiality, evident bad faith or gross inexcusable negligence.

‘Anonymous’ complaint

Ejercito on Tuesday expressed surprise with the decision of the Ombudsman to indict him on the allegedly anomalous transaction.

“In the first place, I got surprised by the decision as I was not even paying attention to it. I thought the complaint would not prosper because it was filed anonymously. Second, I was very careful in handling documents when I was mayor,” he told reporters in Filipino.

“You must understand during those times, I was in the opposition, time ni Gloria Arroyo yan, magkamali lang ako diyan tiyak hindi ako makakalusot kaya yung mga panahong iyon napakamaingat ko, confident ako na walang lulusot na irregularity o anomaly [A mistake would put me in trouble during those times that’s why I was very careful],” the senator said as he referred to former president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, who was in power from 2001 to 2013.

According to Ejercito, he ordered the gun purchase because, at the time, the National Capital Region (Metro Manila) Police Office allegedly recalled the rifles issued to Metro Manila police units.

“That time, it was an urgent need. Ito yung panahon na marami ang holdapan, kidnap for ransom, pati yung restaurants pinapasok … naging very bold, naging very confident ang mga kriminal. Ako, bilang ama ng bayan, ay siyempre natakot kaya nagpa-purchase talaga ako ng firearms para yung aming pulis ay maarmahan namin [That was the time when there was a spate in robbery-holdup, kidnap for ransom, even restaurants were getting robbed. Criminals were very bold and confident. As the city’s father, I was alarmed that’s why I ordered the purchase so that we could arm our policemen],” the San Juan mayor at the time said.

He explained they used the calamity fund as it was the only available fund that they could use.

Ejercito said they would appeal the ruling and possibly elevate the case to the Court of Appeals.

3 Responses to JV faces graft over firearms anomaly
freddie says:
December 9, 2015 at 9:55 am
Wala sa hulog kung mag-reason out. Calamity funds vs. criminality. Ano ba namang lintik na pangangatuwiran yan? Mali ang naisupply na sagot sa kanya ng adviser. Bobo na pati mga adviseer bobo. Walang alam kundi wealth and power.
Reply
freddie says:
December 9, 2015 at 9:52 am
Isa pang bobo. Calamity fund for high-powered guns. Just like Manila with Mayor and vice-mayor na mga bobo. Puro bayad sa Media para lang mainterview.
Reply
hik-hik says:
December 9, 2015 at 2:23 am
Isang pang SPOILED BRAT na Estrada..


MANILA TIMES

GMA home for the holidays December 8, 2015 10:55 pm by JOMAR CANLAS, SENIOR REPORTER


Acting on former president and current Pampanga Rep. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo’s urgent motion for house arrest, the Supreme Court gave her six-day holiday furlough. PHILSTAR File photo

Detained former president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo will not just be home for Christmas. She will also get to celebrate the New Year with her kith and kin.

The early “gifts” came about after the Supreme Court granted Arroyo a six-day leave from a hospital where she is detained.

The furlough was given in connection with the former leader’s urgent motion for house arrest, pending resolution of her bail petition by the Sandiganbayan First Division, which is hearing a plunder case against her over alleged misuse of P365 million in Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office confidential/intelligence funds during her term as president.

Arroyo filed the petition after the United Nations Working Group on Human Rights ruled that the detention of Arroyo was arbitrary.

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“Pending the resolution of the urgent motion, the court grants to the petitioner Christmas and New Year furloughs,” the SC said in a resolution.

It allowed the former president to leave the Veterans Memorial Medical Center in Quezon City at 8 a.m. on December 23, and be taken to her residence in La Vista Subdivision, also in Quezon City, and stay there until 5 p.m. of December 26.

Then at 8 a.m. on December 30, Arroyo will once again be permitted to go back to her residence to spend the New Year until 5 p.m. of January 2.

2 Responses to GMA home for the holidays
Maxtar Tudtud says:
December 9, 2015 at 4:51 am
Advance Merry Christmas to PGMA. GOD Bless You.
Reply
Inocent says:
December 9, 2015 at 12:47 am
The Sandigan should have done this gesture in the past holidays, not wait for the case to reach the Supreme Court. Had the Sandigan treated Aling Gloria Arroyo fairly, they could not have been accused of being PARTISAN to PNoy and the PNoy administration.


MANILA TIMES by Rigoberto Tiglao

SWS’ bogus Duterte poll December 8, 2015 11:15 pm RIGOBERTO D. TIGLAO


by RIGOBERTO D. TIGLAO

The recent Social Weather Stations (SWS) poll claiming that Davao City mayor Rodrigo Duterte garnered a 38 percent rating in the presidential race is so obviously flawed, and therefore, a bogus one.

The questionnaire, which SWS used to project the weird candidate as the front-runner:
“Q5: Ibang listahan naman po ang gamitin natin. Kasama dito si RODRIGO DUTERTE bilang isang substitute candidate sa President. Sa mga sumusunod na pangalan sa listahang ito, sino po ang malamang na inyong iboboto bilang PRESIDENTE NG PILIPINAS, kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon? (Let’s use a different list. Included here is RODRIGO DUTERTE as substitute candidate for President. Among the following names in this list, who would you likely vote as President of the Philippines if the elections were to be held now?)”

SWS president Mahar Mangahas knows that’s simply not done in professional polling, that it’s a no-no in a poll asking respondents to pick names in a list to mention a particular name. So, why did he still do that?

The poll was “leaked” to one newspaper, obviously by Duterte supporters ecstatic about the results. Or maybe Mr. Mangahas wasn’t expecting the privately commissioned poll to be publicly released, which would show how flawed its questionnaire was.

The questionnaire grossly biases the result, as if the pollster highlighted Duterte’s name with a yellow marker in the list. In the psychological context of opinion polls, that seemingly innocuous mention of Duterte is a huge red neon arrow sign to Duterte telling respondents: “Pick him, pick him!”

It’s as if a pollster asked: Coke has reduced its price by 10 centavos. Which soft drink do you prefer in this list: Coke, Pepsi, RC Cola?


Note that the questionnaire that produced Duterte’s high ratings, or “Q5,” was preceded by a “Q4,” which seems not to have Duterte’s name. Why didn’t SWS release the results of this questionnaire?


SWS’ loaded questionnaire to push up Duterte’s ratings, with practically a neon sign asking respondents to choose him.

I am quite sure Grace Poe would also have a similar high rating if Mangahas had her name, instead, in the questionnaire: “Included here is GRACE POE as candidate for President, who the Senate Electoral Tribunal ruled on Nov. 17 is qualified to be senator, and therefore, likely to be qualified to be President…”

The basic flaw of such voting-preference polls is the fact that at least 30 percent of respondents haven’t really made up their minds on whom to vote many months before the election day, and merely report unconsidered, shallow choices, or the candidate they last heard of or read about in the news. The mention of Duterte’s name in such a questionnaire practically ordered a lot of uncommitted respondents to pick him.

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That the latest SWS poll showing Duterte with the highest rating is a bogus one is obvious in the fact that its Sept. 2-5 survey, which was commissioned by a newspaper and not a Duterte supporter as in the case of the recent one, and which didn’t have a loaded preamble mentioning his name, had only 11 percent of the respondents rooting for the Davao City mayor, just matching that of Mar Roxas.

So, Duterte’s ratings jumped by a huge 27 percentage points in just two months of changing his mind thrice about running for the highest office, and barraging the country not with his program of government but with curses, as well as boasting that he took the life of suspected criminals with his own Armalite?

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SWS’ other trick

The other trick which the SWS has been doing so often is conducting such a survey to take advantage of the media coverage of what could be manufactured as “people’s opinion.” The group did that for Duterte this time.

In September, the SWS boosted Poe’s ratings to be the frontrunner after the media reported she would definitely run for President.

The poll that raised Duterte’s standing was undertaken on Nov. 26-28, after he finally announced on Nov. 23 in Davao City his “final” decision to run for the presidency. (*The reasons he gave for his change of mind were rather weird: his disappointment with the government’s failure to act on the alleged bullet-planting (tanim-bala) extortion scheme at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport and the Senate Electoral Tribunal’s decision favoring Poe.)


MANGAHAS

Following his announcement, he went on a road show of media interviews, projecting himself as a spontaneous, authentic candidate, an indignant one who would topple the corrupt establishment.

Prefacing a question with a statement that covertly prods respondents to pick the one that is actually pushed by the pollster is an old trick that no decent pollster in the world now uses, and I am astonished why SWS still did it. It’s a shame that the leading pollster in the country did it.

Is it a case of a “juke-box” polling, borrowing that old term for journalists on the take, that is, the pollster giving the client who commissioned the poll what he wants to hear?
 

The SWS itself disclosed that the poll was commissioned by a certain William J. Lima, a Davao-based businessman. We can presume he is a Duterte-supporter.

The only information I could get on Lima is that he is president of TIG Green Technology Mindanao. He represented in 2012 the German firm Herhof GmbH in its proposal to build a $1.2-billion waste-to-water project in Davao City. For some undisclosed reason, though, the project was junked just a few months after it was proposed.

That’s a kind of worrying information as it doesn’t fit with the portrayal of Duterte as a masa politician unconnected with the rich elite: A businessmen pushing for a billion-peso project in Davao City now backing up his candidacy?

Could it be that Lima has been asked to front for a Davao businessmen’s group that has thrown its support behind Duterte, and has started undertaking its candidate’s propaganda strategy, which includes the SWS advertisement posing as a poll?
The debasement of our institutions continues.
tiglao.manilatimes@gmail.com
www.rigobertotiglao.com

14 Responses to SWS’ bogus Duterte poll
boying labro says:
December 9, 2015 at 12:34 pm
How you know that Duterte is not a puppet of the Aquino oligarch regime???? i would believe if i dont saw any pictures he was not with Pnoy.But i saw in some pictures he was with Mr. Abnoy campaigning of somewhat or elsewhere. Digong is also Tuta ni Abnoy
aside from he is being with the side of NPA>..What we expect from him..???
Feed ur beautiful mind pls…. hindi porke popular for being dirty harry, nakikisabay din agad kayo..
Reply
jao says:
December 9, 2015 at 12:27 pm
obvious naman na majority wants duterte for president
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Get Real says:
December 9, 2015 at 11:00 am
Idol ko si Tiglao, pero obvious na ayaw mo kay Duterte, kay Poe at lalo kay Roxas. Nahahalata ka naman masyado na maka BINAY KA sir! panay banat mo sa iba pero kay binay halos wla kang naisulat na negative. tsk tsk tsk
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Sean says:
December 9, 2015 at 10:21 am
Feeling POGI si DUTERTE..pinagkakalat ba naman na babaero… hahaha.. yan ang nagagawa ng PERA… no money no honey ika nga… mahirap baka pambabae lang ang pera ng mga Pilipino…
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Rogelio Fernandez says:
December 9, 2015 at 10:16 am
That’s why i am always posting,where are they real PHd statisticians…why can’t they comment if Pulse Asian n SWS sampling method really represents the total number of voters?….no reply eversince?
Reply
Rey Quijada says:
December 9, 2015 at 10:02 am
Why not conduct surveys that alternately mention one Presidential candidate and let us see the result?? If the candidate mentiones comes out the frontrunner, then the contention of this writer is good but if it does not and most especially if it is still Duterte, then I do not know what will other columnists who dislike Duterte can say.
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Modie Segovia says:
December 9, 2015 at 7:48 am
Based on this column mukhang ayaw mo kay Duterte Sir Bobi. Do you have any preference among the other candidates? A lot of people just think Duterte is the man. Sana ma consider ang COC niya.
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Oro Pizza says:
December 9, 2015 at 5:50 am
Hi, Mr. Tiglao. Why not Why not touch oh on the Duterte-Ampatuan connection? When firearms were spirited into Davao City by the Ampatuans the citizens did not hear any grumble. But when an ordinary van enters the city, the Task Force Davao almost always turns it upside down to see if some firearm is hidden. When an Ampatuan shot and killed the grandson of a former Davao City treasurer, a certain Asistido, he did not grumble. He lamely said it is up to the prosecution. When an Ampatuan slapped someone inside a beer house, he did not grumble. Again, he said ‘leave it to the court.” Is this courage as Duterte presents himself or is this what you call cowardice? Under his leadership, Davao has become the epicenter of illegal DVDs. See to witness. More power.
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Justin Perez says:
December 9, 2015 at 5:42 am
Dito na tayo sa totoo, kasi kung iba pa ang bobotohan niyo walang mangyayari san bansa na to! Kaya Duterte Cayetano na para sa pagbabago!!!!! #DuterteCayetano
Reply
What'd heck says:
December 9, 2015 at 5:11 am
When I read the big change in SWS polling result from 11 percent to 30 plus percent, I knew right away that the result was rigged. How in the world can people change their minds in so short period of time? It is called MIND CONDITIONING. People believe in polls. In fact in the last presidential election, polls says Villar was way ahead but he came in third.
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Alexis leo says:
December 9, 2015 at 12:16 pm
Are u trying to mind condition the readers by implying mar might just win even if he is trailing in the 4th place?
Diana Baria says:
December 9, 2015 at 4:57 am
Oras na para sa magbabago! Katulad mo ang kailangan namin! #DueterteCayetano
Reply
Ed deLeon says:
December 9, 2015 at 3:35 am
That’s how STUPID the Filipinos are. Where in the world do you find such kind of survey/s? Are these survey companies, money making business for politicians. These survey companies run counter with the RELIABILITY and VALIDITY of statistics.
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Gaston says:
December 9, 2015 at 2:54 am
I don’t think any survey really matters. It is used by politicians to condition the mind of the voters that the candidate is popular among the voters. One thing I am sure whether it’s Roxas, Poe and Binay, the Filipino people believe that these 3 candidates will keep the status quo and let aquino and the hayup 10 escape the persecutions of the sins to the people. Binay is a part of the yellow turds and he will not go after noynoy and the LPs and so with Roxas. In case of Poe she is cast in the image of one of the most incompetent president in the history of the world and that is Cory Aquino, democracy icon daw. Duterte is the last hope of the Filipino people. If their wish for a real change for the country is prevented by the elite who are financing these politicians to keep the status quo, people particularly from Mindanao and Visayas will rise up against the central government (Capital region).
Reply
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